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Why Is WTI Crude Surging Toward $67? | Geopolitical Risks Fuel Oil Rally

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    Energy markets witnessed renewed bullish activity as WTI crude futures climbed toward the $67 per barrel threshold during Thursday's Asian session. The upward movement reflects mounting concerns over Middle Eastern stability after US officials authorized non-essential personnel evacuations from diplomatic facilities in Iraq.

    Market analysts observe that recent developments have created a risk premium in crude pricing. The potential for disrupted supply routes through critical Middle Eastern chokepoints, including the Strait of Hormuz, continues to influence trader sentiment. Historical patterns suggest such geopolitical uncertainties typically add $2-$4 per barrel to oil prices during periods of heightened tension.

    Fundamental factors further supported the price action, with the Energy Information Administration reporting an unexpected 3.644 million barrel decrease in US commercial crude inventories. This marks the third consecutive weekly draw, contrasting sharply with consensus forecasts anticipating a modest inventory build. The inventory data suggests stronger-than-expected demand from US refiners entering peak driving season.

    While trade policy uncertainties persist, energy market participants currently appear more focused on supply-side dynamics. The combination of geopolitical risks and tightening physical inventories creates conditions conducive to further price appreciation, though technical resistance levels near $68 may temporarily cap gains.

    Market participants will monitor upcoming OPEC+ production decisions and weekly rig count data for additional directional cues. The current price environment reflects the complex interplay between geopolitical risk factors and fundamental supply-demand balances in global energy markets.

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